Skip to main content

SNP meltdown: A blow upon a bruise

I am slightly reluctant to write- yet again- on the Scottish referendum, but the news that keeps coming in is critical for the whole future of Scotland and indeed Europe.

The SNP policy of currency union is a shambles. It literally can not work, and the use of Sterling could only be maintained for a short period while Scotland set up a new currency and ultimately prepared to join the Euro. The inchoate rage which has descended on the Yes campaign reminds me why I have so strongly opposed the Nats all these years. Wishful thinking and bluster does not make a coherent economic policy. This is a totally avoidable own goal by Yes and it has been made because Alex Salmond is still trying to pretend that Independence is more or less the same as Devo Max. Brian Wilson in the Scotsman is devastating in his critique of the foolish bluster that the SNP has embarked upon in the face of the collapse of a key plank of SNP policy.

After the currency collapse, worse has come on Europe. The Portuguese EU Commission President Jose Barroso has said that Scotland would not ab initio be a member of the EU and that most member states would regard it as a new acceding state. Accession is not a formality, it is "difficult" and takes many years. Since we would have to get the approval of many countries with succession problems of their own, it may even be impossible for Scotland to join the EU for the foreseeable future.

Again the predictable fury of the Nats, but Barroso is not speaking for or even on behalf of the UK, he is reflecting what all the 27 other member states have told him. It is devastating to the dishonest position that Salmond has taken that EU membership would be a formality for Scotland. As with the currency, it is a complete own goal.

What has got the SNP into trouble is the dishonesty with which they have approached this debate. The fact is that both separation and the common state are set of menus with prices, there are pros and cons. By failing to face unpleasant facts about their own position they have tried to mislead the Scottish people and the world. A wish is not a claim upon reality, and instead of hard nosed reality we now see that the fantasy that separation would be a quick and easy process has been totally blown away. Intellectually the Yes campaign is dead in the water. All the SNP now has left is angry bluster, victimhood and paranoia.

Two parts bullshit, four parts bluster and a pinch of pixie dust is a pathetic economic policy and a disastrous European policy, and this is not merely "reckless" or "irresponsible", it is literally mad. It would be a century long catastrophe if Yes were to win. I don't doubt that the heidbanger fanatics will continue to support Yes through thick and thin, but anyone with two Highers to rub together, anyone with a home, anyone with a job, anyone with a stake in Scotland's future now knows the horrible truth: the SNP has been deluded by their own propaganda and now can not be trusted to cut it at any level. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Concert and Blues

Tallinn is full tonight... Big concerts on at the Song field The Weeknd and Bonnie Tyler (!). The place is buzzing and some sixty thousand concert goers have booked every bed for thirty miles around Tallinn. It should be a busy high summer, but it isn´t. Tourism is down sharply overall. Only 70 cruise ships calling this season, versus over 300 before Ukraine. Since no one goes to St Pete, demand has fallen, and of course people think that Estonia is not safe. We are tired. The economy is still under big pressure, and the fall of tourism is a significant part of that. The credit rating for Estonia has been downgraded as the government struggles with spending. The summer has been a little gloomy, and soon the long and slow autumn will drift into the dark of the year. Yesterday I met with more refugees: the usual horrible stories, the usual tears. I try to make myself immune, but I can´t. These people are wounded in spirit, carrying their grief in a terrible cradling. I try to project hop

Media misdirection

In the small print of the UK budget we find that the Chancellor of the Exchequer (the British Finance Minister) has allocated a further 15 billion Pounds to the funding for the UK track and trace system. This means that the cost of the UK´s track and trace system is now 37 billion Pounds.  That is approximately €43 billion or US$51 billion, which is to say that it is amount of money greater than the national GDP of over 110 countries, or if you prefer, it is roughly the same number as the combined GDP of the 34 smallest economies of the planet.  As at December 2020, 70% of the contracts for the track and trace system were awarded by the Conservative government without a competitive tender being made . The program is overseen by Dido Harding , who is not only a Conservative Life Peer, but the wife of a Conservative MP, John Penrose, and a contemporary of David Cameron and Boris Johnson at Oxford. Many of these untendered contracts have been given to companies that seem to have no notewo

Bournemouth absence

Although I had hoped to get down to the Liberal Democrat conference in Bournemouth this year, simple pressure of work has now made that impossible. I must admit to great disappointment. The last conference before the General Election was always likely to show a few fireworks, and indeed the conference has attracted more headlines than any other over the past three years. Some of these headlines show a significant change of course in terms of economic policy. Scepticism about the size of government expenditure has given way to concern and now it is clear that reducing government expenditure will need to be the most urgent priority of the next government. So far it has been the Liberal Democrats that have made the running, and although the Conservatives are now belatedly recognising that cuts will be required they continue to fail to provide even the slightest detail as to what they think should guide their decisions in this area. This political cowardice means that we are expected to ch